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2007.01.31

National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq to be released Monday

Democrats have been waiting patiently ever since July for Intelligence Czar John Negroponte -- who will soon be reassigned to the State Department -- to release the latest National Intelligence Estimate on Iraq.  During his testimony on Tuesday, he announced that he would unveil it on Monday, February 5th:

Well, I anticipate questions on Iraq – Senator, I prepared a few remarks here that I think are responsive to that, because Iexpect that we'll be transmitting the national intelligence estimate toCongress the first thing next week, by Monday at the latest.And of course I want the national intelligence estimate to speak foritself, but what I would like to say is that my belief that success inIraq remains possible is based on my experience in dealing with Iraq asUS ambassador to the UN and ambassador to Iraq and as director ofnational intelligence.

The last National Intelligence Estimate, which made headlines in September of 2006, revealed that the war in Iraq actually helped fuel worldwide terrorism:

An opening section of the report, "Indicators of the Spread of the Global  Jihadist Movement," cites the Iraq war as a reason for the diffusion of  jihad ideology.

The report "says that the Iraq war has made the overall terrorism problem  worse," said one American intelligence official.

National Intelligence Estimates, the most far reaching intelligence documents, are never completely declassified.  It is likely that the Administration will only choose to declassify sections that somewhat mirror the Administration's foreign policy ideology.

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