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2007.02.09

Zogby: Democratic race close in Iowa and New Hampshire

The conventional wisdom in Washington is that Hillary Clinton can win on money alone.  Maybe someone forgot to tell the high-priced consultants that citizens, not our currency, are the ones who cast the ballots

Zogby Poll:

IOWA
Hillary Clinton - 24%
John Edwards - 24%
Barack Obama - 18%
Tom Vilsack - 9%
Joe Biden - 4%

NEW HAMPSHIRE
Hillary Clinton - 27%
Barack Obama - 23%
John Edwards - 13%

Pollster John Zogby still thinks the race is wide open:

“There is no inevitability factor here. Hillary nodoubt got a bounce from her campaign kick-off announcement, just asEdwards got a bounce from his, and just as Obama is certain to benefitfrom his announcement this weekend. One could even note that DelawareSen. Joe Biden got a 33% boost after officially announcing his campaignlast week. Let’s be realistic here – I don’t see any early runaways inthis game. This is a real race for the nomination.”

There are a few key points to make:

  • In Iowa, John Edwards leads Hillary among men 27% to 21%.  Among women, Hillary leads Edwards 28% to 21%.
  • In New Hampshire, men favor Obama over Hillary 28% to 17%, and Clinton wins among women 32% to 27%.

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