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2007.03.10

Clinton leads in new Nevada poll

According to this Research 2000 poll of Democratic voters in Nevada, Clinton has a double-digit lead on Obama.  Edwards, even with his connections to the hotel workers union and many state representatives, is far behind.

3/9/07

Hillary Clinton - 32%
Barack Obama - 20%
John Edwards - 11%

This is the first Nevada caucus poll conducted by Research 2000, and is also one of the first of any company.  Polling firms have tend to focus more on Iowa, New Hampshire and South Carolina.  But Nevada is extremely important because it will gage Democratic support in the west just weeks before the big primary in California, which is scheduled for February 5th.

If the race is not decided in the first four states, it will definitely be decided in California.  The reason why is because California is an all-or-nothing state.  Whoever wins gets all the delegates, which is different than most states that tend to divide the delegates up based on the percentage of the vote.

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