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2007.08.14

Americans shifting towards Democrats significantly

I know that many of you are frustrated certain members of Congress for not challenging President Bush on the war to the extent that they said they would.  Still, with Congress' approval rating even lower than the Bush's numbers, more Americans in overwhelming numbers favor Democratic candidates.

The political buzz site Political Wire summarizes a strategy memo submitted by Stan Greenberg, who looked into four months of polling data and found "big changes" in the political landscape that are happening right now:

  • The "opinion elite" in the country -- those with a college education and earning more than $75,000 -- support a Democratic presidential candidate by an 11 point margin.
  • Independents have defected from Republican candidates and now support a Democrat for president by 19 points.
  • Young voters are breaking to Democrats with landslide margins.
  • Married women -- a key swing vote -- are breaking marginallyfor the Democrats this year after swinging strongly for the Republicansin 2004.
  • Unmarried women -- a key bloc of "base" voters for Democrats -- pick the Democratic candidate by two to one margin.

No, we don't have the next election in the bag.  Remember, in 2008 Republicans will spend a lot of time scrutinizing the Democrats' record in Congress.  I see it evening out a bit, but still favoring the Democrats by a slight margin.

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