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2007.11.14

IA-2008: Three-way race in Iowa

In every national and state poll, John Edwards is struggling to muster up even 15%.  But in Iowa, he is right in the middle of it.  He could even win the state -- which to an extent, might be a blessing for Hillary, because Obama would falter and Edwards doesn't have the national organization to compete with her.  However, nonetheless, Edwards must win Iowa to stay alive.  He places second in a brand new CBS/NYT poll of likely Iowa Caucus-goers:

Hillary Clinton - 25%
John Edwards - 23%
Barack Obama - 22%
Bill Richardson - 12%
Joe Biden - 4%
Chris Dodd - 1%
Dennis Kucinich - 1%
Undecided - 12%

But this doesn't mean it's all bad news for Obama.  In a new USA Today poll, for the first time the Illinois Senator is neck and neck with the front-runner.  This is a national poll:

Hillary Clinton - 37%
Barack Obama - 36%

This is the first time in any national poll that Barack Obama has crossed the 35% threshold.  That achievement underscores the sudden effectiveness of his national organization.

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