Obama has 90% chance of winning NH

Recent reports from online traders have rated Obama's likelihood of winning the New Hampshire Primary at an overwhelming 90%.

Odds that the 46-year-old Illinois senator will prevail intomorrow's vote jumped after he won last week's Iowa Democraticcaucuses, while wagers on New York Senator Hillary Clinton, thethird-placed finisher in Iowa, tumbled. Online traders say Clinton,60, has an 8.7 percent chance of winning in New Hampshire,according to futures contracts at Intrade, a unit of Dublin-basedTrade Exchange Network Co. Bettors give former North CarolinaSenator John Edwards, who placed second in Iowa, only a 0.3 percentchance of victory in New Hampshire.

Of course, there is still a long road ahead to Super Tuesday, and although the most recent polls in New Hampshire show Obama' surge in the Primary, he is still trailing in Nevada and South Carolina. (Granted, the current polls for those states are from a month ago and do not take the current "surge" into account.

At this time, I would like to coin the term "O-mentum." Add it to your dictionary, because I plan to use it a lot in the coming weeks.

But remember; these polls only count if people get out to vote tomorrow. So if you're in New Hampshire,GO VOTE!

Comments

[George]

Actually Obama is up 20 points in the latest SC poll from today and his campaign in Nevada is doing well too.

And dont ever say O-mentum. you just ruined my day :)

[Justin]

Well Hell's Bells. This has got to go up on the front page!

[David Wynne]

90% of what? Obviously pollster-pundit process needs some re-tuning.
Hillary's steam roller is not even warmed up. Super Tuesday will seal it.
Obama is a great, charismatic speaker. Thank god that's not how we pick presidents.