What Wisconsin means for Obama
With the nation's eyes set on the big March 4th primaries, it's important we don't understate the importance of the contests tomorrow in Wisconsin and Hawaii. For obvious reasons, Hawaii is bound to be a certain victory for the Illinois Senator. But Wisconsin poses an opportunity for Hillary Clinton to turn around her entire campaign, and grab the late-month momentum. More than anything, if Hillary takes Wisconsin it will increase the importance of the two debates coming up. If Obama wins, on the other hand, the debates become less important, as Obama's nomination would look more inevitable.
So a lot is riding on the vote in Wisconsin tomorrow. In the latest American Research Group poll, Hillary leads in Wisconsin . However, the Clinton campaign isn't that confident. They are their efforts there:
Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton has scaled back her Wisconsin campaignschedule by a full day, and is now planning to leave the state afterMonday morning instead of Tuesday morning.
The move suggests the campaign does not think it can overtake rival Barack Obama here.
What is her campaign thinking? They could turn everything around if they just win in Wisconsin. Instead, they are mortgaging everything to prepare for Texas and Ohio. But if they don't have any momentum heading into those March 4th contests, then how can they expect to win? It makes no sense to me.
Maybe the Clinton camp sees the lead and thinks thats all they can do for now. So they pull out and dig in for Ohio and Texas? Maybe they have it rigged, who knows right? Did you happen to see what the number of undecideds were in that poll?
Posted by: Jon | 2008.02.18 at 08:21 AM
The ARG polls are basically useless as far as I know. Every other poll has Obama up from 4-6 points here.
I agree though. Wisconsin is going to be important. Clinton cant sit back and let Obama grab another 57% or whatever.
As for OH and TX, it seems Obama could be competitive in TX, especially among delegate count because of the way TX hands out delegates. Plus, he's already within 10 point in the polls there. OH seems more of a longshot for Obama.
Keep workin!
Posted by: | 2008.02.18 at 10:20 AM
The reality is for both Hill and Barack. The Superdelegates will decide. Neither will have the delegates by the convention. Even if Hill wins OH, TX PA. She will still be behind in delegates. Even with a sweep of all 3 she will only net about 26-30 delegates. She is currently behind by 100.
I am sure the demo party will redo the way they setup these states and have more winner take all states like the Rep.
Posted by: Shawn D Turner | 2008.02.18 at 12:09 PM
The reality is for both Hill and Barack. The Superdelegates will decide. Neither will have the delegates by the convention. Even if Hill wins OH, TX PA. She will still be behind in delegates. Even with a sweep of all 3 she will only net about 26-30 delegates. She is currently behind by 100.
I am sure the demo party will redo the way they setup these states and have more winner take all states like the Rep.
Posted by: Shawn D Turner | 2008.02.18 at 12:10 PM
Yeah, I heard about the strange delegate rules in Texas, and how Obama could lose the popular vote there but win the delegate count.
What Obama needs more than anything to set him over the hump in Ohio is Edwards' endorsement. Blue collar workers like Edwards.
Posted by: | 2008.02.18 at 04:02 PM
The super delegates will only decide if it comes down to a virtual tie. If obama wins Texas or Ohio on the 4th and holds momentum tomorrow there is no tie. It would be over for clinton.
The super delegates job is to keep the party in tact. If they overturn a CLEAR decision by the voters they would alienate a huge part of their base.
Posted by: | 2008.02.18 at 05:06 PM
according to pollster.com, it is a lot closer in Texas. Obama is only behind by 4-5% anc according to cnn he is only behind by 2%.
http://www.pollster.com/08-TX-Dem-Pres-Primary.php
hopefully with a win in Hawaii and Wisconsin, that will boost him ahead of Hillary in texas
Posted by: Casey | 2008.02.18 at 06:19 PM
Obama’s efforts to connect to the Republican Party, specifically Bush, and Dick Chaney, of the Halliburton Company, dates back to the Presidents Grandfather, Prescott Bush, and indeed Chaney was once an executive officer of Halliburton.
The American military pounds Iraq with Artillary, bombs, and the like, destroying large sections of cities, and infra-structures, then Halliburton comes in to rebuild. Halliburton and Halliburton associated companies have raked in ten’s of billions.
Obama is just like the BIG HALIBURTAN. Haliburton has contracted to build detention centers in the U.S. similiar to the one in Quantanammo Bay, Cuba. Halliburton does nothing to earn the Two Dollars for each meal an American Serviceman in Iraq eats.
http://www.associatedcontent.c…..ong…
Halliburton was scheduled to take control of the Dubai Ports in The United Arab Emiirate. The deal was canceled when Bush was unable to affect the transfer of the American Ports.
Now we see what some might suspect as similiar financial escapading from the Democrats.
Two years ago, Iraq’s Ministry of Electricity gave a $50 million contract to a start-up security company - Companion- owned by now-indicted businessman (TONY REZKO) Tony Rezko and a onetime Chicago cop, Daniel T. Frawley, to train Iraqi power-plant guards in the United States. An Iraqi leadership change left the deal in limbo. Now the company, Companion Security, is working to revive its contract.
Involved along with Antoin “Tony†Rezco, long time friend and neighbor of Democratic Presidential hopeful Barack Obama, and former cop Daniel T. Frawley, is Aiham Alsammarae. Alsammarae was accused of financial corruption by Iraqi authorities and jailed in Iraq last year before escaping and returning here.
Obama should be vetted and disclose his connection to the criminal money generating underworld. Besides, his connections to the REZCO MAFIA types, his up-coming tax fraud charges — Obama needs to disclose why he is a Muslim and stop suppoting our intervention in IRAQ. It’s time to shove an introduction to this fake rip-off Obama and invite the thief pipsqueke to meet the Waukesheake Police Department.
Posted by: Janet Reno | 2008.02.19 at 07:54 PM