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2008.04.29

It's close in Indiana

Give Hillary Clinton the slight edge in Indiana, following her Pennsylvania win and the media's obsession with Reverand Wright.  Here are two new polls.

Public Policy Polling:

50% - Hillary Clinton
42% - Barack Obama

Howey-Gauge:

46% - Hillary Clinton
46% - Barack Obama

With one week to go, Obama is on the verge of losing Indiana.  He needs to campaign hard there.  If he wins both contests (North Carolina and Indiana), the power-players in the Democratic Party will put more pressure on the super delegates to endorse.  If they split, however, Obama is just asking for a long battle into the summer.  Remember, Kentucky and West Virginia, two sure Clinton states, have yet to vote.  For Obama, he has Oregon and South Dakota that will go for him.  Being that neither candidate will pull off a surprise win in any of those states, neither candidate has a reason to drop out.  Indiana is what Obama needs to win to rally the Democratic Party around him.

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Comments

That is some interesting polling data, however I don't think Obama can win Indiana without some significant change in the demographic or the race itself. I remember seeing a special on CNN where they spoke to alot of the country folk who said they don't like change etc... How can he overcome the mentality there? I think he should play it out into the summer and bank on swaying the super delegates in the convention or hopefully someone will find some dirt on Hillary, either one will work for me

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