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2008.04.14

Looking beyond Pennsylvania

Obama supporters have to come to grips with the likelihood that Hillary Clinton will win Pennsylvania rather easily.  We will try to capture as many delegates in that contest as possible.  However, judging from the fact that the media has gone to town with the remarks Obama made regarding bitterness in Pennsylvania, our candidate's up-tick in momentum there has leveled out, if not reversed somewhat.

The campaign would be smart to focus heavily on the May 6th contests in North Carolina and Indiana.  Nationally, Obama leads Clinton 50% to 40% in a Gallup Poll just released today.  As good as that is, what really matters is the polling in the upcoming states.  In North Carolina, Obama has a comfortable lead there.  And Clinton leads Obama by three in Indiana.  If Obama sweeps the May 6th contests, he can make the case to super delegates that they must stand in his favor.  If that happens, this race is over.

Obama has had one month to make the case to Pennsylvania voters.  It looks like, no matter what he does, Obama will come up short.  Let's move on.

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Michelle will be on colbert tomorrow, so this might give obama the colbert bump!!!

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