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2008.04.15

Wave of new polls show Clinton holding PA lead

In just about every poll you look at, with less than one week to go, Obama's chances of winning there are slim to none.  The question is whether he can keep it within ten points.

Rasmussen (4/14):

50% - Hillary Clinton
41% - Barack Obama

Quinnipiac (4/12-13):

50% - Hillary Clinton
44% - Barack Obama

Susquehanna (4/14):

40% - Hillary Clinton
37% - Barack Obama

Survey USA (4/12-14):

54% - Hillary Clinton
40% - Barack Obama

So far this primary season, Survey USA has been the most accurate of all the polls.  Unless Hillary makes a huge strategic blunder, expect her to hold on.  If for some reason Obama did win, it would knock the former First Lady out of the race.

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Comments

strategic vision will show Hillary Clinton 49:40 ahead, next days.
These are not bad news at all for Obama. I am quiet sure he will loose PA (but not with more than a 10% gap I think). A really bad thing will be, if polls overestimate him quiet before the primary.
Because of the comeback-story...

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