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2008.05.05

Final day: Indiana polling roundup

This is it.  Just about every poll gives Hillary Clinton the lead in Indiana.  It may be close though, as reports of early voting show heavy turnout in the northwest, mostly considered an Obama stronghold.  Ultimately, Clinton will probably win that race.  The question is how close will it be?  Also, which candidate will finish with more delegates from both contests tomorrow?

Suffolk University:

49% - Hillary Clinton
43% - Barack Obama

American Research Group:

53% - Hillary Clinton
45% - Barack Obama

ARG also notes that Barack Obama leads by eight in North Carolina, meaning he is poised to finish the night with more pledged delegates.  However, an Insider Advantage poll shows the race a lot closer in North Carolina.  OK, now back to Indiana.

Zogby:

44% - Barack Obama
42% - Hillary Clinton

The Zogby web site claims they have it right.  However, they acknowledge that undecided voters lean Hillary's direction:

While Obama holds a small edge in Indiana, Clintonappears to hold at least a small advantage among those who are yetundecided. Among those undecided Indiana voters who said they wereleaning toward one candidate or the other, Clinton held an edge. Italso remains unclear what impact, if any, the new Indiana requirementthat voters show identification before casting ballots will have on thecontest.

It appears that even if Obama wins both contests tomorrow (though it is likely they will split), Hillary will stay in it.  This fight will stretch through at least June 3rd.

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Comments

Todd, why did Obama promise to loosen or drop the oversight on the Teamsters in order to get their backing? History has proven that when there is no oversight on them, the Teamsters are rampant with corruption, extorton and embezelment.

http://online.wsj.com/article_print/SB120994756511766395.html

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB120994756511766395.html

These two links take you to articles that reference this issue. I understand the platform's pro-union position, but this seems to have always been a "third-rail" type issue for politicians. Do you think this is truly good for the Teamsters or the United States?

You may have to copy the link and paste it in your browser address window.

Yeah, I think this is an example of pandering on the part of Obama, and I wasn't happy to hear about it. The power of the Teamsters Union has declined over the last half-century.

Obviously the Wall Street Journal has its agenda when it comes to unions -- though I consider the WSJ a better source than FNC.

If I were Obama, I'd stay clear of this issue. He obviously wants the working class vote, one way or another.

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